Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 315.133949 357.146146 403.969582 460.259961 526.404158 602.036007 695.597845
2025-07-06 241.873841 293.773445 356.781584 439.781547 547.545582 684.553024 874.889559
2025-07-13 215.415052 274.323777 350.210518 456.911305 605.981724 811.372861 1123.980316
2025-07-20 198.112357 262.111145 348.638182 477.089161 668.108654 950.458076 1417.037666
2025-07-27 179.584539 244.950538 336.832853 479.438905 702.859118 1053.515281 1676.311767
2025-08-03 160.660490 224.575471 317.295057 466.558100 710.812044 1114.230799 1877.182250
2025-08-10 145.936501 208.487392 301.823039 457.134674 721.650663 1179.842104 2099.857584
2025-08-17 138.855503 202.931763 301.415041 471.156390 772.962461 1323.725078 2506.266008
2025-08-24 129.543369 192.918525 292.753957 469.996365 796.928729 1421.134915 2843.371365
2025-08-31 120.225993 181.994698 281.415927 462.592004 807.909890 1494.747740 3147.837817
2025-09-07 113.772123 175.092993 275.972158 464.786567 837.079776 1610.063660 3582.878909
2025-09-14 105.866182 165.124107 264.359737 454.224816 839.284030 1668.183600 3892.768794
2025-09-21 99.854872 158.022264 257.332528 451.967150 859.184043 1771.960802 4366.163503
2025-09-28 91.714707 146.698444 241.924177 431.927659 838.866457 1779.502603 4574.077246
2025-10-05 89.631542 145.721314 245.012306 448.684301 901.106230 1998.924906 5501.947526
2025-10-12 88.043916 145.463570 249.342431 468.418265 973.412037 2261.745977 6695.140108
2025-10-19 84.365377 141.134370 245.586731 470.716053 1005.121860 2424.566624 7622.555757
2025-10-26 79.239591 133.791931 235.437463 458.119381 998.578770 2479.055691 8169.805485
2025-11-02 74.918239 127.671427 227.213387 448.902757 999.221089 2555.167412 8846.287210
2025-11-09 73.395893 126.714837 229.132247 462.616431 1061.248212 2833.346030 10556.314188
2025-11-16 70.442276 122.819694 224.799843 461.481967 1083.655492 2992.896596 11828.635600
2025-11-23 67.105745 117.976982 218.163352 454.240435 1088.225466 3095.204144 12888.375604
2025-11-30 64.883079 115.179244 215.567407 456.386795 1119.707027 3299.411039 14647.231797